States

Where capital is flowing across the 40-ETF universe, as of the Friday New York close. Refreshed weekly. Model output, not recommendations.

Where capital is moving · Week 43 · Friday close

Capital is rotating into energy, healthcare, staples and value, and out of semis, North Asian tech and large-cap growth.

Flowing into · 11 of 36 in inflow

  • Energy (XLE) and Brazil (EWZ): furthest above their daily EMA55
  • Healthcare and biotech (XLV, IBB)
  • Staples, value and low volatility (XLP, IWD, USMV)
  • Software (IGV): +6.0% on the week
  • Turning up from below: equal-weight, materials and financials (RSP, XLB, XLF)

Flowing out of · 20 of 36 in outflow

  • Semis and North Asian tech (SMH, EWY, EWT): EWY 12.8% below its EMA55
  • Large-cap growth (QQQ, XLK, IWF, ARKK)
  • Emerging markets, China and India (EEM, MCHI, INDA)
  • Europe and Japan (EZU, EFA, EWJ)
  • Communications, industrials, small caps (XLC, XLI, IWM), gold (GLD) and clean energy (ICLN)

Scan of Fri 23 Oct 2026 · NY regular-session closes · H4 signal against D1 trend · 5 instruments neutral (XLU, TLT, KRE, XLY, SPY)

40-ETF flows scan

Sorted from furthest above the daily EMA55 to furthest below. State: Leading, Weakening, Improving or Lagging. Flow: the direction of money on the daily frame.

TickerClose1D1WH4 signalD1 trendStateFlowD55 slopevs D55
EWZ42.59+1.77%+1.82%BearBullLeadingInflowRising+8.91%
XLE69.33+2.60%+1.60%BullBullLeadingInflowRising+8.63%
XLV179.28−1.11%+1.45%BullBullLeadingInflowRising+5.46%
IGV110.59+1.72%+5.99%BearBullLeadingInflowRising+5.12%
XLP88.26−1.92%+0.73%BullBullLeadingInflowRising+4.38%
USMV102.95−0.54%+1.67%BullBullLeadingInflowRising+3.08%
IBB207.74−0.86%+2.85%BullBullLeadingInflowRising+2.02%
IWD257.42−0.63%+0.65%BullBullLeadingInflowRising+1.74%
RSP216.54−0.77%+1.14%BullBearImprovingInflowRising+1.14%
XLB51.31−0.74%+0.77%BullBearImprovingInflowRising+1.14%
XLU42.56−0.72%+0.83%BullBearImprovingNeutralFlat+1.11%
TLT81.34−0.49%+1.61%BullBearImprovingNeutralFlat+0.85%
KRE72.46+0.07%+3.80%BullBearImprovingNeutralFalling+0.80%
XLF55.9−1.32%+0.68%BullBearImprovingInflowRising+0.64%
XLY113.1−1.66%+0.57%BullBearImprovingNeutralRising−0.27%
SPY759.97−0.52%−0.43%BearBullWeakeningNeutralFlat−0.65%
VNQ92.69+0.04%+1.01%BullBearImprovingOutflowFalling−0.65%
EMB91.65−0.22%+0.14%BullBearImprovingOutflowFalling−1.15%
EFA102.63−0.50%−0.89%BullBearLaggingOutflowFalling−1.95%
EWJ94.1−0.53%−0.82%BearBullWeakeningOutflowFalling−2.04%
QQQ704.4−0.01%−0.76%BearBullWeakeningOutflowFalling−2.76%
IWM275.75−0.33%+1.96%BullBearLaggingOutflowFalling−2.81%
XLK183.23+0.49%−0.13%BearBullWeakeningOutflowFalling−2.96%
INDA46.46−1.90%−2.52%BullBearLaggingOutflowFalling−2.98%
ARKK81.99+0.16%+0.42%BearBullWeakeningOutflowFalling−3.29%
IWF119.61−0.40%−1.54%BearBullWeakeningOutflowFalling−3.30%
EWT104.9+0.88%−1.28%BearBullWeakeningOutflowFalling−3.61%
XLI164.62−1.27%−1.87%BearBearLaggingOutflowFalling−4.14%
EZU64.63−0.63%−1.81%BullBearLaggingOutflowFalling−4.47%
XLC105.51−1.78%−4.36%BearBearLaggingOutflowFalling−5.06%
GLD366.61−0.65%−4.03%BearBearLaggingOutflowFalling−5.50%
EEM62.01+0.47%−1.34%BearBearLaggingOutflowFalling−5.82%
MCHI49−0.04%−4.30%BearBearLaggingOutflowFalling−6.96%
ICLN16.02−0.93%−1.90%BearBearLaggingOutflowFalling−7.99%
SMH527.2+0.74%−2.33%BearBearLaggingOutflowFalling−8.28%
EWY151.26+1.48%+0.55%BearBearLaggingOutflowFalling−12.79%

Macro gauges

TickerClose1D1WH4 signalD1 trendStateFlowD55 slopevs D55
VIX19.44+2.21%−2.70%BullBullLeadingInflowRising+18.40%
DXY101.75+0.13%−0.03%BearBullLeadingInflowRising+0.79%
US10Y4.999+0.77%−1.61%BearBullWeakeningInflowRising+0.47%
DFII102.64−4.35%−5.04%BearBullWeakeningInflowRising−0.11%

Refreshed weekly from the Friday New York close; the full weekly read is published every Sunday in the Reports. Completed NY closes only; DFII10 dated Thu 22 Oct (FRED). General market research describing the output of a rules-based model: not investment advice or a personal recommendation, and not an invitation to buy, sell or hold any investment. Published by Blueprint Three Consulting Ltd, which is not authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority.